Expert Overview
The match between Mattia Bellucci and Carlos Alcaraz promises to be an intriguing encounter, with Alcaraz being the favorite given his youth and rising status in the tennis world. Bellucci, with his experience, could pose some challenges, especially if he can leverage his strategic play. The betting odds reflect a high likelihood of a competitive first set, with over 69.90% chance for more than 9 games in the first set. The probability of the match extending beyond two and a half sets stands at 67.50%, indicating potential for a lengthy battle. Additionally, there is an 84.90% chance that the first set will not go to a tiebreak, suggesting it might be decided by a clear winner.
Bellucci, Mattia
Alcaraz, Carlos
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1st Set Games | 69.30% | (0-3) 1-6 1st Set 1.44 | |
| Under 1st Set Games | 51.70% | (0-3) 1-6 1st Set 1.57 | |
| Tie Break in 1st Set (No) | 85.70% | (0-3) | |
| Under 2.5 Sets | 69.80% | (0-3) | |
| Tie Break in Match (No) | 67.80% | (0-3) | |
| Over 3.5 Sets | 55.90% | (0-3) | |
| Total Games 2-Way (Over 22.5) | 54.80% | (0-3) | |
| Total Games 3-Way (Under 22) | 54.40% | (0-3) |
Betting Predictions
- First Set Games: With odds favoring over 9 games at 69.90%, expect a closely contested first set, possibly without reaching a tiebreak (84.90%).
- Total Sets: The match is likely to extend beyond two and a half sets, with a probability of 67.50%. This suggests both players will be competitive, potentially leading to an engaging contest.
- Tie Breaks: There is a strong likelihood (67.80%) that no tiebreak will occur in the entire match, indicating decisive games.
- Match Length: A prediction of over 3.5 sets at 56.70% suggests that while extended matches are possible, shorter encounters are still likely.
- Total Games: The total number of games is anticipated to be over 22.5 (52.40%), indicating a relatively high-scoring match.
Additional Predictions
Given Alcaraz’s powerful baseline game and Bellucci’s experience, expect Alcaraz to dominate rallies but potentially struggle against Bellucci’s tactical play if the latter can keep him from dictating the pace. The match may see fluctuations in momentum, particularly if Bellucci can exploit any lapses in Alcaraz’s concentration or stamina.